152: Tories and BlockersTranslation: it's now a dead heat, and given the intense volatilty of the electorate, this may be little more than a means of stepping back from the precipice of a non-confidence stand-off. It's surely a body-blow to Mr. Harper-- and, ironically enough, to the NDP, who can no longer be seen as supporting the government while waiting patiently for its demise. But I think it's quite possible we've now forestalled an election, and Mr. Martin may just have bought himself a few more months in government, and that plopping sound you just heard in the background was the sound of Andrew Coyne shitting himself.
151: Libbers and Dippers
1: Carolyn Parrish, Independent, to vote with the Libber-Dippers
2: Cadman and Kilgour, Independents whose votes are still undecided
This truly is the House of the (Very , Very) Long Knives....
UPDATE: Mr. Harper's press conference, going on as I write this, sounds almost like a concession of defeat. I wonder if he knows more about the Cadman and Kilgour votes than the rest of us do. Or, perhaps, that he's suspecting a few of his own members-- from Atlantic Canada?-- are waffling in their support. I have to say, Stevie came across very poorly in his conference, like a child that had his allowance taken away, just when he knew what he was going to spend it on.
Key quote from the Harper: "There's no grand principles in this decision, just ambition." Sorry, Mr. Harper, says I: that should be, "There are no grand principles in this decision."
UPPERDATE: I guess this means Lucienne Robillard is out of cabinet? How wise a move is this, dumping a Quebecois member from cabinet with separatist sentiment as strong as it is right now? We shall see.